Brexit News for Thursday 10th November

Brexit News for Thursday 10th November

Donald Trump’s stunning victory is hailed as a boost for post-Brexit Britain…

Donald Trump’s stunning victory in the US presidential battle has been hailed as leaving Britain at the ‘front of the queue’ for a trade deal. Jubilant MPs pointed to the billionaire’s support for a quick agreement with the UK after Brexit as they celebrated his triumph. Mr Trump’s election could also put the final nail in the coffin of the trade package being negotiated between the US and EU – despite pleas from senior Eurocrats for him to change his approach. – Daily Mail

…as his win may give Britain a leg-up in Brexit talks

Donald Trump’s shock election victory may have given U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May unexpected leverage in the coming Brexit talks. With the president-elect casting doubt on the U.S. commitment to NATO, Britain’s military strength and intelligence capabilities may now be in more demand from European Union countries worried about terrorism and Russian expansionism. – Bloomberg

  • Theresa May says UK and US will remain ‘close partners’ as she congratulates Donald Trump – The Herald
  • Tories congratulate Donald Trump just months after strident criticism – Huffington Post
  • Tories now see bold leader who embodies the spirit of Brexit – The Times (£)
  • What has Donald Trump said about trade? – BBC
  • Trump Presidency could boost US investment in Britain – The Street
  • Nigel Farage is flying to America this weekend to angle for a job in Donald Trump’s administration – The Times (£)

James Forsyth: Brexit means Britain can benefit from this result

Another consequence of Trump’s victory is that TTIP — the proposed free-trade deal between the US and the EU — is dead. Trump will be far more of a hate figure in Europe than even George W. Bush was, making whatever deal is negotiated pretty much unsellable to European voters. On the campaign trail, Trump himself has been unremittingly hostile to complex multinational trade deals. By contrast, a post-Brexit US-UK deal might be simple enough for the Trump administration to negotiate and Congress to ratify. Trump’s election is a challenge to the security and unity of the West. But his enthusiasm for Brexit, in marked contrast to the Obama administration, does provide opportunity. – James Forsyth for The Spectator

Tim Montgomerie: Trump’s victory is not Brexit II

It’s undeniable that the Brexit vote and Donald Trump’s victory both confounded expectations and the opinion pollsters. But please, please can we kill the lazy idea that our EU decision and the US election are otherwise equivalent? To persist in doing so might look suspiciously like an attempt by some Remainers to blacken a good cause by unfair association. More importantly the link diminishes the extent to which Mr Trump’s success should deeply trouble people on both sides of the Brexit debate. -Tim Montgomerie in The Times (£)

Many of Brexit’s champions were big advocates of free trade. Trump opposes globalisation in most of its forms. And Boris Johnson, of course, never suggested a Muslim ban. Gisela Stuart did not advocate building a wall across the border with southern Ireland. Nigel Farage did not suggest an independent Britain would pursue torture as an instrument of foreign policy. Michael Gove did not mock a disabled reporter at a rally. Kate Hoey didn’t say the French people flooding into Britain were rapists and drug dealers…. Trump’s victory isn’t Brexit plus but Brexit minus, minus, minus. – Tim Montgomerie in The Times (£)

Iain Duncan Smith MP: Trump’s election gives us a chance to rebuild the special relationship

This is where an opportunity opens up for the UK. Notwithstanding the fact that we are bound on a course that takes us out of the EU, We should seize this opportunity to engage the new administration and remind them of our enduring friendship in good times and in bad. A positive tone of support and assistance will reinvigorate a relationship which has the potential to help us both. – Iain Duncan Smith MP on ConservativeHome

  • Trumped America and Brexit Britain are both calling the bluff of the established order – Charles Moore for the Daily Telegraph (£)
  • Donald Trump’s barnstorming victory offers huge opportunity for Brexit Britain and Theresa May -Trevor Kavanagh in The Sun
  • What will Donald Trump do for us? – Tim Newark for the Daily Express
  • Will the Special Relationship survive? – Billl Emmott for CapX
  • Brexit, then Trump: welcome to the counter-revolution – Gerald Warner for Reaction
  • Voting for Trump and Brexit: what the working class revolt is really about – Caroline Crampton for the New Statesman
  • Donald Trump’s victory will be as great a test for Theresa May as Brexit – Matthew D’Ancona for the Evening Standard
  • If Trump means what he says on trade, we all face economic doom – Allister Heath in the Daily Telegraph (£)
  • What Brexit and Donald Trump can teach the centre left about politics – Will Straw for the New Statesman

Europe’s leaders try reaching out to Trump

Long in denial about — and unprepared for — the possibility that Donald Trump could win the White House, Europe’s leaders scrambled Wednesday to offer olive branches to the U.S. president-elect in the hopes of continuing transatlantic business as usual….The presidents of the European Council and European Commission asked Donald Trump to come to Europe for an EU-U.S. summit at his “earliest convenience.” – Politico

Theresa May meets Hungarian PM Viktor Orban at No 10 after pivotal votes leave EU reeling…

The 53-year-old, who has been the east European country’s head since 2010, is expected to kick of negotiations between the two countries as the UK inches towards leaving the European Union. The meeting between the two countries has been met with concern by some European leaders who see the move as an attempt by the Conservative leader to gain an advantage in any deal with the EU as a whole after the Brexit vote. – Daily Express

…As EU leaders prepare to discuss Britain’s departure in Theresa May’s absence next month

The leaders of the so-called EU27 – every EU nation except Britain – are expected to meet on the second day of December’s European Council summit in Brussels. A spokesman for Council President Donald Tusk told the Politico website that “the EU27 leaders will meet on the margins of the December [summit] to discuss the Brexit process”. It will be the third such meeting in Britain’s absence since the June referendum vote to leave the EU in June. – The Independent 

David Davis enjoys ‘constructive’ meeting with ministers from devolved administrations

Brexit Secretary David Davis said he had a “constructive and amicable” meeting with his counterparts from the devolved administrations, as the Scottish Brexit Minister urged the UK Government to provide “greater clarity and transparency” on plans to leave the EU. Mr Davis laid out plans for the UK Government to hold monthly meetings of the EU Negotiation Joint Ministerial Committee, enabling the Scottish Government, the Welsh Government and the Northern Ireland Executive to share analysis as part of a “two-way information flow”. – The Herald

Exports of goods surge in the wake of the historic referendum as businesses look beyond the EU

A 6.1 per cent boost in goods being sold abroad helped cut the UK’s overall trade deficit by £1.6billion in the quarter after the referendum. The narrowing was driven by exports to countries outside the EU – while the gap with the EU actually widened over the period… International Trade Secretary Liam Fox greeted the third quarter figures as a ‘positive boost for British businesses’. He said it ‘shows clearly the UK remains an attractive place with which to trade and do business’. – Daily Mail

UK and China meet today to talk trade

British and Chinese leaders are holding talks on trade, investment, financial services and energy. UK politicians are keen to court Chinese officials as an important and growing trading partner, particularly in the post-Brexit vote era. Although Britain cannot formally start trade negotiations with the country until Brexit has taken place, it can still discuss the topic. – Daily Telegraph

  • Theresa May calls for new ‘golden era’ between China and UK as Vice Premier Ma Kai flies in for post-Brexit trade talks – The Sun

Getting immigration wrong post-Brexit could lose London £7 billion by 2020

Failing to secure suitable immigration rules for London post-Brexit could cost the capital billions, a report out today has warned. The study, produced by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr) on behalf of the London Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), discovered that, of the 771,000 non-UK EU nationals currently employed in London, 160,000 would not be allowed to stay if forced to apply for work under the existing tier 2 visa rules after the UK leaves the EU. – City A.M.

Labour MPs visit Brussels aiming to ‘shape debate’ on Brexit

A delegation of senior Labour backbenchers were travelling to Brussels on Wednesday to argue that the party should begin to “shape the debate” on Brexit in the wake of the article 50 court case. The group of 17 Labour MPs are led by Emma Reynolds, formerly the shadow Europe minister, who was to use a lecture to outline the party’s response to what she said was a disastrous government approach to exiting the EU. – The Guardian

Brexit news and comment in brief

  • If there’s any hint of compromise, the Brexit revolutionaries will not spare Theresa May – George Eaton for the New Statesman
  • Brexit is a very modern revolution – Neil Jopson for Comment Central
  • SNP accused of ‘dangerous obsession’ by linking hate crime to Brexit – The Scotsman

And finally… Lord Rose opens up about his time chairing the ill-fated Stronger In campaign, admitting he was initially inclined to say no to the job

“My first, second and third instinct was to turn it down, but there was a certain amount of pleading on the phone and I agreed. I always knew it was going to be a dirty fight. I don’t regret it, but to be honest, businessmen should stick to business and politicians to politics.” Rose endured a torrid time at the heart of the campaign. He was derided after getting the name of his organisation – full title: Britain Stronger In Europe – wrong four times during an interview with Sky News. – City A.M.

  • The Lord Rose interview in full – City A.M.