Brexit News for Sunday 5th February

Brexit News for Sunday 5th February

Theresa May faces Tory revolt over ‘cliff-edge’ Brexit…

Theresa May faces a Conservative revolt this week aimed at stopping her walking away from EU negotiations with no Brexit deal. Up to a dozen Tories are threatening to back a Commons move to give MPs the power to reject a so-called ‘cliff-edge’ Brexit outcome. The rebels, who include ex-Ministers Ken Clarke, Anna Soubry, Dominic Grieve and Nicky Morgan, say Parliament must have the right to tell the Government to go back and get a better deal. With a Commons majority of 16, in theory if nine Tories vote against the Government, Mrs May could lose. Rebel leader Conservative MP Neil Carmichael told The Mail on Sunday it was ‘illogical’ for Mrs May to have offered a Commons vote on any Brexit deal after two years of EU talks, but no vote if there was no deal. – Mail on Sunday

…As Tory rebels set to join bid to soften EU bill in Lords

Rebel Tory lords and opposition peers are plotting to water down the Brexit bill with changes that could delay Britain’s departure from the EU. The former minister Baroness Altmann is among Conservatives who are poised to defy the party whip and push for a softer Brexit. Fellow Tory peer Baron Bowness is part of a cross-party group of pro-Europeans calling themselves “the Network” that is co-ordinating opposition to the government’s plans in the House of Lords. Lords Paddy Ashdown and Menzies Campbell are also said to be involved, along with Labour peers Peter Hain, Quentin Davies and Roger Liddle. – Sunday Times (£)

…As Britain is proposing wider Europe-based pro-nuclear club after Article 50 triggered

A new pan-European nuclear group is being discussed after the UK’s decision to pull out of the European Atomic Energy Community (Euratom) plunged the Brussels-linked group into disarray. Tim Yeo, a former energy select committee chair, told The Sunday Telegraph that he will unveil plans in the coming weeks to replace Euratom, after Brexit Secretary David Davis confirmed plans for Britain to quit the group once Article 50 is triggered.The exit could dash Britain’s hopes of co-operating in major international nuclear projects and delay the home­grown Hinkley Point and Horizon plants while complicated new bilateral agreements are formed. – Daily Telegraph

Germany’s Finance Minister says EU ‘should not punish Britain’ to keep City benefits…

The EU should offer Britain a “reasonable” Brexit deal because financial services offered by the City of London benefit Europe as a whole, Germany’s Finance Minister has said. Wolfgang Schaeuble told German newspaper Tagesspiegel London’s financial centre “serves the whole European economy”, so it was preferable to “keep Britain close to us”. “We don’t want to punish the British for their decision,” he said, in comments released before the interview is published in full – Independent

…As the PM is urged to demand Brexit talks are held in ‘neutral’ Switzerland

Labour MP Kate Hoey has expressed fears holding the UK’s divorce negotiations in the Belgian city will hand a “home ground” advantage to the European Union as the Prime Minister seeks to strike a departure deal. Mrs May has promised to trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty by the end of next month, with the Prime Minister likely to formally notify the EU of Britain’s intent to leave in a letter to European Council president Donald Tusk. Vauxhall MP Ms Hoey, a leading Brexit campaigner, is calling for Mrs May to use her Article 50 letter to highlight how the Lisbon Treaty makes no mention of where a member state’s departure negotiations should take place. – Sunday Express

British Fishermen fear a Brexit catch…

Fishermen around the Kent coast are fearing for the survival of the industry after Brexit as they do not believe the government will deliver a clean break with the EU. The Thanet Fishermen’s Association and Whitstable Fishermen’s Association have thrown their weight behind a 90 page document by Fishing for Leave, an independent campaign aiming for withdrawal from existing EU fishing regulations in order to regain control over the country’s fishing waters and rejuvenate the industry. – Kent News

…As small businesses see future in UK not Europe after Brexit


Bullish small businesses are banking on the UK for growth rather than Europe, according to lender Hitachi Capital. It said that 59 per cent of small to medium sized enterprises (SMEs) believe that they will experience growth in the UK over the next 12 months, compared with only 20 per cent for Europe… The UK was the most important market for SMEs in the North, with 71 per cent of small firms in the Northeast and 69 per cent in the North-west citing the UK as their growth market. – Sunday Express

  • Paris charm offensive to persuade London elite to move to France met with mockery – Daily Telegraph 

City red faces on Brexit fears

Red-faced City economists are performing a collective U-turn on the impact of Brexit, echoing the Bank of England’s sharp revision to its growth forecast. The latest survey from Consensus Economics shows the average forecast for 2017 growth is now above 1.4%, from a low of 0.6% in August, as the resilience of consumers continues to confound analysts in the Square Mile. – Sunday Times (£)

Copy of Article 50 Bill ‘signed by PM’ to be auctioned at Tory dinner

A copy of the article 50 bill apparently signed by Theresa May is to be auctioned off at a Conservative party fundraising event. The Guardian has seen emails showing that a signed copy of the European Union (notification of withdrawal) bill, which MPs voted on this week, was acquired by a Westminster councillor for an auction at the inaugural Regent’s Dinner, organised by the West End ward Conservatives. Amber Rudd, the home secretary, will be speaking at the event, for which tickets cost a minimum of £85. It is not known whether she is aware of the auction prize. – The Observer

Brexit bill: what happens next?

The game’s afoot! And the thumping four to one Commons majority for the Brexit Bill (aka the European Union (Notification of Withdrawal) Bill) does not mean the government whips can now wrest on their laurels, confident that no-one will dare amend it. Next week’s three days of committee of the whole House threatens to be a far more serious and subtle test of their mettle – and also of the Deputy Speakers who will chair proceedings. – Mark D’Arcy for the BBC

Robert Colvile: The remarkable stability of Brexit Britain


In the aftermath of Donald Trump’s election victory, there were many – the new President included – who cited Brexit as a precedent. The theory was that many voters were so fed up with the status quo that they’d embrace anyone who attacked it. But as Fraser Nelson pointed out in The Spectator, this wasn’t necessarily the case. Trump, he argued, was what you got when the public were pushed beyond endurance. Brexit was what you got when they were allowed a safety valve. Robert Colvile for CapX

Brexit comment in brief

Brexit news in brief

  • Germans demand London Stock Exchange moves group headquarters to Frankfurt – Daily Telegraph
  • Brexit civil servant wage bill tops £100m – Daily Mirror