Brexit News for Sunday 28 May

Brexit News for Sunday 28 May
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‘Bar Sturgeon from Brexit talks’, say English voters…

English voters believe Theresa May should reject Nicola Sturgeon’s demand for a seat at the UK’s Brexit negotiating table if the SNP wins a majority of Scottish seats in the general election, according to a new poll. The first minister has claimed a nationalist victory would give her a mandate to join the talks with the EU. However, a Panelbase poll for The Sunday Times found 57% of voters in England who expressed an opinion view her manifesto policy for a seat as unacceptable. Only 43% were in favour. – Sunday Times (£)

…as Ruth Davidson hits back at Sturgeon’s independence demands, saying ‘it’s my duty to keep UK together’

The Scottish Conservative leader said she felt “a duty” to keep the United Kingdom together by forcing the First Minister to drop her campaign for a new post-Brexit vote on leaving Britain. Led by Ms Davidson, the Tories have enjoyed a remarkable renaissance north of the border, emerging as the main opposition to Mrs Sturgeon’s still-dominant SNP. With less than two weeks to go until the General Election, Ms Davidson’s Tories are appealing to Scottish voters who don’t want another referendum to cast their ballot for her party. According to recent polls, support for the so-called “IndyRef2′ is on the wane, and a strong showing for the Conservatives in Scotland could be key in getting the SNP to back down. – Express

What is Scotland’s future in Europe after Brexit? – The Herald

Tory election campaign to be relaunched with focus on Theresa May as the only leader trusted to negotiate Brexit

Sir Lynton Crosby, the Tory strategist, has ordered a return to the party’s core message: only Theresa May can be trusted to negotiate Brexit. The prime minister will hammer home that point when she and Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn face separate grillings by the former Newsnight presenter Jeremy Paxman tomorrow evening in the campaign’s first televised showdown. A senior Tory said: “All that came before the attack is ancient history; it’s like the campaign is starting all over again.” – Sunday Times (£)

We need a deal with the EU to combat terror, Theresa May is told

The UK’s full participation in European Union security and intelligence co-operation will be critical to the fight against terrorism after Brexit, leading British security experts have said, as Theresa May announced wide-ranging new plans to counter extremism. The growing demands for the prime minister to face down anti-EU forces in the Tory party and make membership of bodies such as Europol, the EU’s criminal intelligence agency, a top priority, came amid fears that Brexit could leave the UK with inferior access to key European databases and deprive British police forces of vital tools in high-level, pan-European anti-terror probes. – Observer

Consumer and business confidence holds up ‘despite Brexit’ effect

Writing on Forbes, however, Tim Worstall says the CEBR figure is still markedly positive – remarkably so, in fact, given the uncertainty surrounding Brexit and inflationary headwinds. “It’s most certainly not the signal of doom and gloom that some seem to be seeing,” he adds. Even the inflation boost is “not as bad as it looks” because as it is being driven purely by a correction in the pound and as that has since stabilised it is “a one time adjustment, not a permanent state of affairs”, Worstall argues. “The positive outlook on investment suggests GDP growth for the UK may rise more sharply in the second quarter after a disappointing first quarter,” the paper adds. – The Week

Outgoing Irish Prime Minister Enda Kenny could take on Brexit role

Leo Varadkar wants to enlist Enda Kenny as a Brexit ambassador for Ireland if he wins the Fine Gael leadership this week and is then elected taoiseach. The social protection minister told The Sunday Times he would like the outgoing taoiseach to play a significant role in Brexit negotiations, but declined to go into detail before he spoke to Kenny. – Sunday Times (£)

Andrew Stoler and Geoff Raby: Brexit Britain has no need to fear WTO terms

Were the UK and EU unable to agree to a high-quality bilateral free trade agreement (FTA), it would be bizarre – and could only be attributable to bloody-mindedness by the EU. No two economies that have entered into an FTA negotiation have been more deeply integrated than are the UK and EU today. Already, trade between them is free, their respective services are largely open, and the UK has adopted the EU’s acquis for regulations for the past 44 years. Yet were this to happen and the UK and EU were unable to reach agreement on an FTA, the papers in the series on this site over the past week have shown that it is likely that it would be the EU and not the UK that would be most disadvantaged by this. – Alex Stoler and Geoff Raby for ConservativeHome

John Rentoul: Every attempt to stop Brexit has made our departure from the EU more certain

The campaign against Brexit has been one of the most unsuccessful political movements in the world… Those who don’t accept the result of the referendum, despite the Article 50 votes in Parliament, will have lost their last line of defence if Theresa May wins a parliamentary majority on an explicit manifesto promise to leave the EU… What a paradox for those Remainers who argue that the decision to leave the EU was a capricious one, the product of a momentary, precarious majority on 23 June, that every attempt to frustrate Brexit has ended up making our departure from the EU more certain. – John Rentoul for the Independent

Liam Halligan: Stand by for another hot eurozone summer

You might think the “euro-crisis” is solved. After all, the economy of the 19-country eurozone expanded at an annual rate of 1.8pc during the first quarter, outpacing Britain and the US. Surveys show French and German growth at a six-year high. All that fuss about Greece, Portugal and Cyprus going bankrupt, and spreading “financial contagion” across the world, seems over. And Yanis Varoufakis, that dashing Greek academic-turned-finance-minister, who grappled with the German paymasters, has just published his memoirs. – Liam Halligan for Telegraph

Neil Woodford: ‘Brexit is a sideshow, the UK economy is set fair’

“Brexit is far from the most important influence on the UK economy.” Neil Woodford, Britain’s most prominent professional investor, who is celebrating three years in charge of his Woodford Equity Income fund, has poured scorn on the economics profession for predicting instant disaster in the wake of the vote to leave the EU and sounded an upbeat note about the country’s future as exit negotiations begin. – Neil Woodford for the Telegraph

Professor John Curtice: Theresa May intended the General Election to be all about Brexit and who could deliver a better deal for Britain

Now that the campaign is up and running again the Prime Minister will want to seize back control of the campaign agenda. Our poll today reveals that she has many strong cards. Voters clearly prefer Mrs May to Mr Corbyn on both Brexit and the economy. And, in truth, voters are also more inclined to trust the Prime Minister on defence and keeping us safe from terrorism too. – John Curtice for The Sun on Sunday

Brexit in brief

  • Dogmatic Tories are raising the drawbridge on international students – the UK economy will suffer – Catherine West for IBTimes
  • The Brexit referendum question was flawed in its design – Thomas Colignatus for LSE Brexit
  • Philip Stephens: May must acknowledge the costs of her immigration pledge – FT (£)
  • Asset managers fine tune Brexit contingency plans – FTfm
  • EU workers look elsewhere for jobs as UK loses appeal – Telegraph
  • CLA brings European farmers and landowners together for Brexit talks – County Gazette
  • What businesses can do to thrive as the UK braces for Brexit – Independent
  • Brexit: How would Teesside candidates get the best deal for the region? – Gazette Live