Amber Rudd U-turn on no-deal Brexit paves the way for a job in a Boris Johnson Cabinet: Brexit News for Friday 12 July

Amber Rudd U-turn on no-deal Brexit paves the way for a job in a Boris Johnson Cabinet: Brexit News for Friday 12 July
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Amber Rudd U-turn on no-deal Brexit paves the way for a job in a Boris Johnson Cabinet

Amber Rudd has dropped her opposition to a no deal Brexit in a move that could save her Cabinet career if Boris Johnson becomes prime minister. The Work and Pensions Secretary has been implacably opposed to no deal, and repeatedly argued against it in Cabinet meetings along with fellow Remain voters David Gauke and Greg Clark. But with Mr Johnson in a seemingly unassailable lead over Jeremy Hunt, Ms Rudd said she now accepted that a no deal Brexit had to be “part of the armoury” as the new leader tried to renegotiate a deal with the EU. Ms Rudd, who is supporting Mr Hunt’s campaign to be leader, had hoped to become the country’s first female Chancellor, but has now readjusted her sights and would be happy simply to keep her current job. – Telegraph (£)

  • Amber Rudd accused of U-turn over no-deal in bid for job under Boris Johnson – Independent
  • Amber Rudd embraces no-deal Brexit as ministers pitch to Johnson – Guardian

MPs plot Commons ‘sit-in’ to stop Boris Johnson’s no-deal Brexit plan to shut down Parliament

Chancellor Philip Hammond expects MPs to stage a ‘sit-in’ to stop Boris Johnson from shutting down parliament to ram through a no-deal Brexit, HuffPost UK has learned. Hammond has told colleagues that Commons Speaker John Bercow and Opposition MPs are likely to insist on carrying on their duties as normal even if the new prime minister attempts to ‘prorogue’ parliament… Hammond has told colleagues that he expects that under a contested prorogation the government could vacate its benches in the Commons but the Opposition and rebel Tory MPs will still turn up. Bercow would try to remain in the Speaker’s chair on the grounds that he is enabling the will of the House, he suggested. Both Labour and Tory rebels are looking at all options to stop no-deal in both the Commons and the Lords. – Huffington Post

I didn’t want to be ‘the little girl crying wolf’ over Brexit, says outgoing PM Theresa May

Outgoing Prime Minister Theresa May has said she “did everything” she could to get Brexit “over the line”. The Tory leader has discussed her commitment to negotiating a deal for Britain to leave the EU, as well as giving her thoughts on the character required to be Prime Minister and the regrets from her time at Number 10. She pointed to her willingness to work with Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn and ultimately to lose her position as leader as evidence of the lengths she was willing to go to deliver Brexit. “People have asked me: ‘Why didn’t you tip the table over?’ But if you do that constantly, it’s like the little girl crying wolf – it ceases to have an effect,” Mrs May told the Daily Mail. The new Tory leader, either Boris Johnson or Jeremy Hunt, will be announced on July 23 following a ballot of Conservative members and will take over as prime minister the following day. Mrs May did not name either candidate in her interview, but seemingly alluded to the necessity of character in the UK’s top job. – ITV News

  • Theresa May’s last No 10 interview reveals a leader whose decency was never in doubt – Daily Mail

Boris Johnson says Donald Trump was right to call May’s Brexit deal a ‘disaster’…

Boris Johnson has laughed off President Trump’s broadside to Theresa May today, insisting he agrees that the PM’s Brexit has been a disaster. The Brexiteer and front-runner to become the next Tory PM refused to criticise his ally when pressed on whether the US President was right to attack her on Twitter. When he had tweets read out of Trump calling May’s Brexit a “disaster” he chuckled and said: “I find it hard to disagree”. The President branded her “foolish” for not taking his advice and going her “own way” with the EU. Boris has branded Mrs May’s deal as terrible on several occasions and voted against it twice before finally backing it on the final go – but it still didn’t pass. – The Sun

…after poll finds that Johnson will kill off Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party and win back Leave voters

Boris Johnson would win back Brexit Party voters by taking Britain out of the EU on time, a new poll said today. Tory supporters who’ve switched to support Nigel Farage say they will return to the Conservatives if Brexit is delivered by October 31. BoJo has promised that if he becomes PM Britain will leave the EU on Halloween “do or die”. But leadership rival Jeremy Hunt insists he would consider delaying Brexit if he needs more time to get a deal with Brussels. Thousands of Tory activists have deserted the party and now support Mr Farage’s Brexit Party instead. A poll of Conservative members by Orb International for the Daily Telegraph showed that if we don’t leave the EU on time, 35 per cent will vote for the Brexit Party. – The Sun

No-deal Brexit will deliver major economic shock for the UK, despite costly planning, claims Mark Carney

Despite “extensive and expensive” preparations by banks, other UK businesses and the authorities, crashing out of the EU would deliver a “major economic shock” to Britain, the governor of the Bank of England said on Thursday. Mark Carney said UK banks are strong enough to continue lending after a disorderly Brexit, even if that is compounded by a severe economic contraction caused by a global trade war. As for UK businesses, about 90 per cent have some form of contingency planning in place, he said, and the government has made progress in readying the country’s trade infrastructure such as ports and customs for a no-deal Brexit. But the government is not “all the way there”, Mr Carney added, making the same observation about some UK exporters and noting that firms overall still expect “sales to go down, they expect employment to go down, they expect costs to go up and they expect the economy to slow” if Britain leaves without an agreement. – Independent

  • Bank of England warns no-deal Brexit could trigger economic shock – Guardian

No-deal Brexit is not a big risk, says Aston Martin boss as he brands the Government’s negotiations ‘laughable’

The boss of Aston Martin Lagonda has attacked ministers’ Brexit strategy – and said a No Deal departure is better than more uncertainty. Andy Palmer blasted the Government’s attempt at negotiations, and broke with other car bosses by calling for the country to leave the European Union in October even if no agreement has been reached. Palmer is bored of Brexit and told a crowd of car industry insiders in London: ‘We think we know how we would cope with No Deal. We’ve planned for that. It’s not great, we’d prefer it wasn’t a No Deal.’ This stance is in stark contrast to other car firms with British operations, from Jaguar Land Rover to Nissan, insisting that No Deal would be disastrous. The industry would be disproportionately disrupted by delays at borders or problems with customs, as it gets its parts delivered at the last minute in what is called a ‘just-in-time’ system. – Daily Mail

Stewart Jackson: We can’t succeed at Brexit without reining in our chaotic Foreign Office

The lead up to the Brexit denouement in October and the current hothouse atmosphere in Parliament, allied with the Conservative Party leadership battle and a 24-hour social media and newsgathering cycle, inevitably means relatively unimportant events are portrayed as seismic or epoch making crises. Such is the imbroglio over the resignation of our ambassador to the United States Sir Kim Darroch yesterday. Outside Westminster and Whitehall, no one really cares. The rumble over the Ferrero Rocher, the hysterical description of the events as a “national humiliation” and the identity of the eventual resident of the ambassador’s palatial home on Massachusetts Avenue in Washington DC will barely register with the electorate and certainly will have no impact on the Tory membership picking our new Prime Minister. – Stewart Jackson for the Telegraph (£)

Jack Blanchard: Beer, Boris and Brexit

It’s shortly after midday and Playbook is in the pub with Boris Johnson, just as news breaks that Kim Darroch has resigned. To his credit the man who, barring a miracle, will shortly be confirmed as Britain’s next prime minister still has a pint at the ready. He waggles a finger at one of his aides to get me a drink. “I’m not having a pint if Blanchard’s not having one,” Johnson says good-naturedly. The pub is the Metropolitan Bar by Baker Street station, and Boris is here as part of his campaign tour to meet Wetherspoons boss Tim Martin — a fellow veteran of the Vote Leave campaign. When did Johnson last have a pint at lunchtime, I wonder? “More recently than you’d think,” he chortles into his glass. “Don’t put that in.” He drinks half and leaves the rest. – Jack Blanchard for Politico

Colin Blackwell: A wise government would harness the potential of expatriates, the original ‘global Britons’

Last week saw both Party leadership candidates release short video messages to British expatiates and overseas party members. This makes sense when you realise that well over 1,000 ballots are being sent to expatriate Party members, and consider the success of Conservatives Abroad over recent years. So what is going on here? Firstly, the lazy 1980’s assumption that expat Britons are all sunning themselves in warm retirement on some Spanish costa with limited ‘home thoughts from abroad’ needs to be completely debunked. The simple reality is that with changing patterns of work, an overseas posting for a few years is increasingly the norm and an integral part of a wide range of career paths. Colin Blackwell for ConservativeHome

Iain Martin: Macron is ready for showdown with Johnson

In 1944, the American songwriters Harold Arlen and Johnny Mercer were struggling to find a tune and a lyric that would lift the national mood. Arlen hummed a spiritual melody and Mercer told his colleague to cheer up: “You’ve got to accentuate the positive.” The phrase fitted the tune and Arlen and Mercer’s Ac-Cent-Tchu-Ate the Positive was the result. If Boris Johnson is looking for a cheery anthem to be played later this month on his arrival in Downing Street he could do worse than revive this Arlen and Mercer classic. It’s the embodiment of his optimistic approach to politics and the lyrics read like a Boris instruction manual: eliminate the negative, latch on to the affirmative, bring gloom down to the minimum, and spread joy up to the maximum. – Iain Martin for The Times (£)

James Crisp: The EU is playing musical chairs with its top jobs, but they’ll still dance to the same old tired tune on Brexit

Any Brexiteer hoping that the appointment of a new president of the European Commission will bring a step-change in Brussels’ Brexit negotiating strategy will be disappointed. Ursula von der Leyen, the German defence minister nominated by EU leaders to succeed Jean-Claude Juncker, set out yesterday where she stands on Brexit for the first time since her selection. “I am a Remainer,” she told MEPs in Brussels as she sought to gather support for a confirmatory vote on her candidacy in the European Parliament next week. Mrs von der Leyen went on to praise Michel Barnier’s negotiating tactics and the Brexit withdrawal agreement that has been rejected by the House of Commons three times. – James Crisp for the Telegraph (£)

Sebastien Kurzel: Brexit is an opportunity to rethink our relationship with Africa

Right now the government views Africa as a continent that needs international aid. But things have changed and this view is out of date. If you look at just a handful of highly successful African entrepreneurs who have chosen to base themselves – and their businesses – in the UK, like Mzi Khumalo, Bernard Kantor and Kenton Fine, this should give you an idea of the calibre and potential of this continent. The government must wake up to the fact that our traditional view of Africa is wildly out of date, and the continent is now showing the first real signs of the booming region full of business and trade opportunities that it will become for us post-Brexit. – Sebastien Kurzel for CommentCentral

Brexit in Brief
  • If Jeremy Corbyn were to write a ‘for’ and ‘against’ list for Brexit, this is what it would look like – Lord Adonis for the Independent
  • No-deal Brexit would kill ‘many thousands of jobs’, claims Greg Clark – Sky News
  • Raging Brexit Party MEP lifts lid on EU ‘stitch up’ – Express
  • Farmers’ fury at South America trade deal as Brexit threat looms – Telegraph (£)